Tennessee vs. Alabama odds, prediction: 2025 college basketball picks, March 1 best bets from proven model
The No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (23-5, 10-5 SEC) will try to extend their three-game winning streak when they host the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (23-5, 12-3) in a rivalry showdown on Saturday afternoon. Tennessee has won six of its last seven games overall, including a 65-59 win at LSU on Tuesday. Alabama is coming off back-to-back wins over then-No. 17 Kentucky and No. 24 Mississippi State, remaining two games behind No. 1 Auburn atop the SEC standings. The Vols swept the season series in this rivalry last year and have won three straight meetings overall.
Tipoff is set for 4 p.m. ET on Saturday at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center. Tennessee is favored by 4.5 points in the latest Tennessee vs. Alabama odds, while the over/under is 158.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Alabama vs. Tennessee picks, you’ll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 17 of the 2024-25 season on a 220-160 betting roll (+2005) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Tennessee vs. Alabama. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:
- Tennessee vs. Alabama spread: Tennessee -4.5
- Tennessee vs. Alabama over/under: 158.5 points
- Tennessee vs. Alabama money line: Tennessee -180, Alabama +148
- Tennessee vs. Alabama picks: See picks here
- Tennessee vs. Alabama streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Tennessee can cover
Tennessee heads into this matchup with momentum, having won six of its last seven games to move up in the SEC standings and improve its chances of earning a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Vols rely on one of the top defenses in college basketball, allowing just 60.8 points per game. Their outside shooting has been a key during their current three-game winning streak, shooting 28 of 70 (40%) during that stretch.
Chaz Lanier knocked down a career-best 8 of 13 attempts in last Saturday’s win over then-No. 12 Texas A&M. Lanier is averaging a team-high 17.8 points per game, while point guard Zakai Zeigler averages 13.6 points and 7.3 assists. Tennessee is 14-1 in its last 15 home games, and it has covered the spread in four of its last five games against Alabama. See which team to pick here.
Why Alabama can cover
Alabama is coming off arguably its best win of the season, cruising to a 111-73 blowout win over No. 24 Mississippi State. The Crimson Tide have won nine of their last 11 games and remain in contention for a share of the SEC regular-season crown. They lead the nation in points per game (91.5), providing a challenge for Tennessee’s vaunted defense.
Crimson Tide guard Mark Sears, who is listed as probable, is averaging 19 points and five assists per game while commanding the floor. Auburn transfer Aden Holloway and forward Grant Nelson are each scoring 12 points, with Nelson leading the team in rebounds per game (7.9) and total blocks (36). Alabama has covered the spread in 12 of its last 17 games, and it is 8-1 in its last nine road games. See which team to pick here.
How to make Tennessee vs. Alabama picks
The model has simulated Alabama vs. Tennessee 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Tennessee vs. Alabama, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Alabama vs. Tennessee spread you need to jump on, all from the model on an 220-160 roll on top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.
